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Effects of the German Renewable Energy Act on structural change in agriculture \u2013 The case of biogas

机译:“德国可再生能源法案”对农业结构变化的影响\ u2013沼气案例

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摘要

The strong political support for biogas production in Germany over the past decade has greatly affected agricultural production, farms and land markets. This paper analyzes the effects of Germany's biogas policies on agricultural development by using the agent-based simulation model AgriPoliS. Particular focus is placed on the effects of the previous German Renewable Energy Act (REA, German \u201cEEG\u201d) of 2012, as well as the latest amendments, which were added in 2014. Our results show that under the previous REA and its predecessors, biogas production provided an attractive investment opportunity, especially for large farms, which led to a boost in biogas production. However, this policy also caused distortions within the agricultural sector, including increasing land rental prices. These effects particularly threatened farms that were not able to invest in biogas, as well as smaller biogas farms. On average, biogas farms could not increase their profitability. The main reason for this effect can be seen in the fact that a significant share of the value added is transferred via increased rental prices to land owners. The amendment of the REA in 2014, which reduced support levels substantially, partly attenuates some of these effects, though the previous policy will cast a long shadow.
机译:过去十年来,德国对沼气生产的强大政治支持极大地影响了农业生产,农场和土地市场。本文使用基于代理的模拟模型AgriPoliS分析了德国沼气政策对农业发展的影响。特别关注2012年以前的德国《可再生能源法》(REA,德国)的影响,以及2014年新增的最新修正案。我们的结果表明,根据先前的REA及其前身,沼气生产提供了有吸引力的投资机会,尤其是对于大型农场而言,这导致了沼气生产的增长。但是,该政策还导致农业部门内部的扭曲,包括土地租金上涨。这些影响特别威胁到无法投资沼气的农场以及规模较小的沼气农场。平均而言,沼气农场无法提高其盈利能力。这种影响的主要原因可以从以下事实中看出:增加的租金中有很大一部分是通过提高租金价格转移给土地所有者的。 2014年的REA修正案大幅降低了支持水平,部分减弱了其中一些影响,尽管先前的政策将蒙上阴影。

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